Rainfall has started in several parts of the country ahead of the March–May long rains season. This has offered a renewed optimism to farmers and communities recovering from recent dry conditions.

Forecasts indicate that showers are already being experienced in western and central regions, with more widespread rainfall expected to continue into March.

According to the latest outlook from the Kenya Meteorological Department, rains have been recorded or are forecast in parts of the Highlands, the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin and sections of the southeastern lowlands.

Counties currently receiving rainfall include Migori, Homa Bay, Kisii, Nyamira, Narok, Kajiado and Taita Taveta, with showers also reported or anticipated in urban centres such as Nairobi and Kakamega.

Regional climate projections from the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre suggest that the March–May season is likely to bring near-normal to above-normal rainfall in many central and western parts of the country.

If sustained, this would mark a significant boost for crop production, pasture regeneration and water replenishment in key agricultural zones.

However, northern and north eastern areas may continue to experience relatively drier conditions in the short term, even as rainfall intensifies elsewhere.

Experts caution that while early showers are encouraging, farmers should watch for consistent rainfall patterns before large-scale planting.

Agricultural officers are urging farmers to take advantage of this window by preparing their land, sourcing certified seeds and aligning planting schedules with the onset of steady rains.

Proper timing, soil preparation and consultation with extension services will be crucial in maximising yields during the long rains cycle.

Beyond farming, the developing rainy season is expected to improve water levels in dams and boreholes and support livestock recovery in regions that have faced pasture shortages.

After months of concern over drought conditions, the current rainfall pattern signals an opportunity for communities to rebuild resilience and strengthen food production across the country.

With March approaching, attention now turns to how consistent and well-distributed the rains will be. For farmers in Migori, Homa Bay, Kisii, Nyamira, Narok, Kajiado, Taita Taveta, Nairobi, Kakamega and surrounding areas, the coming weeks could define the success of the season ahead.