President William Ruto would emerge as the most preferred presidential candidate if elections were held today, according to the latest end-of-year opinion poll by Infotrak.

The opinion poll released on December 28, 2025 shows that 28 percent of Kenyans would vote to re-elect President Ruto.

Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i was ranked second with 13 percent support, followed by Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka at 12 per cent. 

Embakasi East MP Babu Owino got 7 percent, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua received 5 percent.

People’s Liberation Party leader Martha Karua and former Chief Justice David Maraga tied at two percent each.

According to the survey, 25 percent of respondents had not settled on a preferred presidential candidate, while four per cent declined to disclose their choice.

On political formations, the survey indicates that 32 percent of Kenyans support the broad-based government led by President Ruto. 

Meanwhile, 22 percent align with the United Opposition coalition spearheaded by Gachagua, Karua, Kalonzo Musyoka and Eugene Wamalwa.

17 percent of respondents expressed preference for the Kenya Moja alliance led by Trans Nzoia Governor George Natembeya, Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna, and MPs Babu Owino, Gathoni Wamuchomba and Ndindi Nyoro.

However, 29 percent of those surveyed said they do not identify with any of the three political formations.

In terms of political party affiliation, the ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA) remains the most preferred party at 23 percent, followed by the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) at 19 per cent.

Six percent of respondents said they feel closest to Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) led by Rigathi Gachagua, while five percent preferred Jubilee Party. 

The Wiper Patriotic Front followed at four percent.

The survey was conducted between December 19 and 20, 2025, using a sample size of 1,000 respondents drawn from all 47 counties.