A new opinion survey released on November 9, 2026, by Kenya Track Survey has placed Embakasi West MP Mark Mwenje at the forefront of the constituency’s emerging 2027 parliamentary race, with challenger Kennedy Odhiambo, popularly known as Odhat, emerging as his closest competitor.
The survey, which assessed voter preferences through online and telephone sampling, places Mwenje first with 53.5 per cent, followed by Odhiambo at 39.7 per cent, pointing to an increasingly competitive contest as political alignments and campaigns begin taking shape ahead of the August 2027 General Election.
According to the survey, Mwenje enjoys a 13.8 percentage-point lead over Odhiambo, positioning the incumbent as the early frontrunner in the constituency.
His performance reflects the political advantage associated with incumbency, including public visibility, engagement with constituents and the opportunity to demonstrate his record in parliamentary representation and development initiatives.
As the sitting MP, Mwenje’s position in the rankings will place his record in office under closer scrutiny, particularly regarding the utilisation of National Government Constituencies Development Fund resources, education bursaries, school infrastructure and other development priorities affecting residents of Embakasi West.
Odhiambo, popularly known as Odhat, takes second position with 39.7 per cent, establishing himself as a formidable challenger to the incumbent.
His showing suggests a substantial level of support for an alternative political proposition, with the emerging contest likely to revolve around accountability, service delivery, representation and the constituency’s development priorities.
The 13.8 percentage-point gap between the two leading contenders also points to the possibility of an increasingly competitive parliamentary contest as the election approaches.
Odhiambo’s challenge will be to consolidate his support base, strengthen grassroots mobilisation and translate his current polling performance into sustained political momentum.
Peter Maina Chuma occupies third position with 3.9 per cent, trailing the two leading contenders by a considerable margin.
His inclusion in the rankings nevertheless reflects the presence of other aspirants seeking to influence the political conversation in the constituency, particularly on issues such as youth employment, support for small businesses, infrastructure and improved public services.
Former Embakasi West MP George Theuri comes fourth with 2.5 per cent.
Despite his previous experience in parliamentary representation and familiarity with the constituency’s political landscape, the survey places him behind the current frontrunners.
His challenge will be to rebuild political momentum and demonstrate how his experience could translate into renewed support among voters.
Brian Weke completes the five-candidate ranking with 0.3 per cent, placing him fifth in the survey.
Although his current showing remains relatively modest, the unfolding political contest provides an opportunity for emerging aspirants to increase their visibility, establish grassroots networks and communicate their policy priorities to the electorate.
The survey results point to a race currently dominated by two principal contenders, with Mwenje commanding the largest share of recorded preferences and Odhiambo presenting the strongest challenge.
The remaining three aspirants collectively account for 6.7 per cent, underscoring the considerable gap separating them from the leading pair.
With the General Election still months away, political mobilisation, party nominations, campaign strategies, development records and the ability of aspirants to connect with voters will be critical in determining the eventual outcome.
For now, Mwenje maintains the early advantage, while Odhiambo emerges as the principal challenger in a parliamentary contest that is expected to attract growing political attention as Embakasi West prepares for the 2027 polls.
